MAY 2026 VERSION IS OUT: https://manifold.markets/PatrickHoang/how-many-clicks-will-the-global-cou-tC6dZdZSgd
The website theglobalcounter.com tracks the total number of button clicks in total, with terrible bot protection (99% of its clicks are bot/hacked clicks). As of this market's posting, the counter is above 20,000,000 clicks.
Options: Each answer is a half interval. For instance, "20M to <40M" means anything between 20,000,000 and 39,999,999 inclusive, but 40,000,000 falls in the next bucket. The "Other" option may be split into more options past 200M if needed.
Resolution: This market resolves based on the click count displayed on the site when this market closes at the end of April 2026. If the website is down, resolution is based on the last sighting.
Update 2026-03-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator may resolve individual answer options early if the counter passes their thresholds before the market closes in April 2026.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ604 | |
| 2 | Ṁ306 | |
| 3 | Ṁ208 | |
| 4 | Ṁ179 | |
| 5 | Ṁ119 |
We resolved it in 70M - 100M range, with official count of 79,885,984.
Now time to place bets on May 2026: https://manifold.markets/PatrickHoang/how-many-clicks-will-the-global-cou-tC6dZdZSgd and all bets are off.
@AddisonGoolsbeeGreg @PatrickHoang Would you categorize this market as a cyber security / capture the flag challenge?
Do you welcome attempts at hacking the site?
@PatrickHoang 2026, not 2025, correct?
@AddisonGoolsbeeGreg Does this check out with you too? Do you agree?
@PatrickHoang whats the exact time when you check the final count? I’m guessing Thursday, 30 April 2026 (GMT-4) 11:59 pm since you’re from the states? Oh my bad nevermind you resolve it when the market closes I’m stupid that was written
May 2026 version is out: https://manifold.markets/PatrickHoang/how-many-clicks-will-the-global-cou-tC6dZdZSgd
@100Anonymous Bots overloaded the server. The last sighting I've seen is at 75 million. So if the server doesn't go up then it would resolve at 75M. Note that @AddisonGoolsbeeGreg controls the website, not me.
@PatrickHoang oh, interesting. I just lost so much mana for nothing. I need to be less scared of my decisions.