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MANIFOLD
How many clicks will The Global Counter have by end of March 2026
18
į¹€175į¹€3.3k
resolved Mar 8
Resolved
20M or higher
100%99.0%
20M or higher
0.2%
2,000,000 - 2,999,999
0.2%
3,000,000 - 4,999,999
0.2%
5,000,000 - 7,999,999
0.2%
8,000,000 - 12,499,999
0.3%
12,500,000 - 19,999,999

The website theglobalcounter.com tracks the total number of button clicks in total, with not that good bot/abuse protection. As of this market's posting, the counter is exactly at 2,000,000 clicks.

Resolution: This market resolves based on the click count displayed on the site when this market closes. If the website is down, resolution is based on the last sighting.

RESULT: Resolved at 20M early since we hit there way earlier than I expected. I expect to make a new market soon featuring even bigger milestones! It is here:
https://manifold.markets/PatrickHoang/how-many-clicks-will-the-global-cou-gt52Z0czZZ

Market context
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I resolved this one early as we already hit 20M, but I'll make another market soon which should be the third version!

@PatrickHoang Nice, thanks for the fun market!

@PatrickHoang please don't make the market bounds too high as at some point it really is impossible to do them without: 1. the site crashing/runs out of request limits, 2. no longer feasible, 3. just looks better

excited to see your market

@PatrickHoang Okay wow

shall see what happens

Rate limits hit on Cloudflare Workers free tier

@sadeshmukh Very much so - wonder if it'll be back up

bought į¹€50 NO

The 2-3M option is already ruled out, we're at 3M already.

@PatrickHoang above 5M now. But now the site is down.

bought į¹€50 YES

@PatrickHoang did you get the 5m number before it went down?

@PatrickHoang Last I checked it was over 6 million

@BurntToast Well it is at least 5 million. Could be much higher.

@PatrickHoang Cool to know

bought į¹€40 NO

Wow I’m impressed this is still going

I am so losing money on this one.