🐕 Will A.I. Be Significantly Better at, "Egocentric Navigation," by the End of 2023?
PatrickDelaney avatar
Patrick Delaney
7
closes Jan 1
33%
chance

Preface:

Please read the preface for this type of market and other similar third-party validated AI markets here.

Third-Party Validated, Predictive Markets: AI Theme

Market Description

RoboTHOR

https://github.com/allenai/robothor-challenge/#2021-robothor-object-navigation-challenge

Object navigation in RoboTHOR deals with the task of Visual Semantic Navigation from ego-centric RGB-D camera input. The agent starts from a random location in an apartment and is expected to navigate towards an object that is specified by its type.

Basically, there is a simulated environment, you program a robot to navigate around this simulated environment autonomously, and then there is a real environment where this can be tested using a physical device.

Market Resolution Criteria

https://leaderboard.allenai.org/robothor_objectnav/submissions/public

Top entry is 0.2884 - for this market to resolve as YES, we would need to see 1.3*0.2884 by the end of the year or greater, otherwise it resolves NO.

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2 Comments
7 Positions
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PatrickDelaney avatar
Patrick Delaneybought Ṁ10 of NO

I'm guessing no because I don't see a lot of activity on this project, however intuitively it seems super easy and seems like someone could come in and just rock it with newer technology, so I'm not super sure.

PatrickDelaney avatar
Patrick Delaney

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