๐ Will Any AI Effectively Achieve Higher than Human Level Reasoning Through Common Sense Questions, By 2024 End?
14
1kแน380Jan 1
37%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves similar to: https://manifold.markets/PatrickDelaney/will-any-ai-effectively-achieve-sup-b8311d1c1eaa#zDZ5LXC7pABnADlQIbB8
However, if needed, will update to a more appropriate 2024 metric. Aim to have full market resolution criteria set by end of January 2024.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will AI be smarter than any one human probably around the end of 2025?
16% chance
Will AI top level capabilities generally be judged by question and answer benchmarks in 2029?
25% chance
Will AI allow us to talk to animals by 2034?
67% chance
Will AI surpass human intellect by 2030?
91% chance
Will AI enable a successful conversation between a human and a member of a non-human species by the end of 2030?
81% chance