Stralor avatar
Pat Scott
closes Jan 1, 2025
Will the U.S. and China go to war by 2025?
9%
chance

There are suggestions that the U.S. and China may enter into conflict due to the latter's rising influence in the world. And some say that the oncoming elections in Taiwan and the U.S. in 2024 would provide good opportunity for China if it chose to be the initiator.

China-U.S. War By 2025 Predicted By Four-Star General | Time

Resolves YES if, by the end of 2024, either nation formally declares war, if either nation invades and occupies the other's undisputed sovereign territory with military forces, or if de-facto war breaks out in the form of multiple skirmishes. Otherwise, resolves NO.

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DavidKc2f9 avatar
David Kbought Ṁ1 of NO

Neither country benefits from deploying resources to fight a war instead of mitigating climate change and investing in space colonization.

Stralor avatar
Pat Scott

@DavidKc2f9 while I agree with you on principle, humans and nations are not necessarily rational actors and I suppose there could be enough changes and stressors in the world to precipitate a fall in relations.

DavidKc2f9 avatar
David Kis predicting NO at 16%

@PatS I agree but I don't think the generations of people who grew up with ubiquitous access to information will actually tolerate a war because it is a clear waste of dwindling petrochemical resources. I'm guessing this is obvious to almost everyone, including politicians.