Trump tries to fire Powell before September 1?
16
1kṀ3478
Sep 1
17%
chance
8

Resolves YES if Trump announces he's firing Jerome Powell as Fed chair, or otherwise makes an attempt to fire before Sept 1.

Resolves NO if he makes no public attempt before then.

This market is not contingent on whether the attempt is successful.

In the edge case where Powell resigns without Trump attempting to fire him, this market will N/A.

A public announcement of Powell's imminent removal is enough to resolve this YES even if Trump does not take any further action.

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