What will be true of the first Enhanced Games?
SportsOlympicsFunUnited StatesCoolFoldAustraliaBiotechVenture CapitalPeter ThielEnhanced Games
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40
Ṁ1.9k
2025
86%
It won’t happen by the end of 2025
81%
A woman will break a formal world record previously held by a man, for any amount of time
80%
It will run over budget
70%
The IOC and/or US Olympic committee will threaten participation bans against anyone participating in the Enhanced Games
63%
Some enhancing substance or surgery will be banned by the Games (not just by law)
62%
Someone will run the 100 meter dash faster than 9.58 seconds
61%
Swimming, gymnastics, weightlifting, track and field, and combat will be the ONLY event categories
59%
A country will ban or restrict participation in the Enhanced Games
59%
Dana White will attend the Enhanced Games
58%
A Fortune 100 company or brand will sponsor the Enhanced Games
58%
There will be a restriction on political speech by participants and/or their teams by the Games
58%
Athletes from the United States will win the most events
57%
Participants from 10 or more countries will enter the Games
56%
10 or more formal world records will be broken
50%
Watching the Games online will be officially free in the United States (with or without ads)
50%
It will be a culture war adjacent topic
50%
There will be a protest of 1000+ people outside of the of the event for at least 1 hour, on one day
41%
It will turn a profit
41%
A prominent financial backer will bail out of the project before the Games
36%
A leg is lost (whatever that means)

https://enhanced.org/

Ever hear that old boomer saw about how "they should do an Olympics where all drugs are legal"? Well, a group of venture capitalists are going to actually do it.

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Do not add meta questions about this market itself.
All questions start from when they are added; no retroactive answers.
Questions can be edited for clarification by me.
Questions can be resolved N/A for quality control by me.
Anyone can present evidence for any answer, but if an answer is a mystery I will leave that question open until evidence arrives, or resolve it N/A a month after the Games end.
If the Games fall apart or have an indefinite delay, this market will be kept open until the end of Q3 2025, at which point all open questions will resolve N/A. If there is a small delay, I will simply move the resolution time.

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Someone will run the 100 meter dash faster than 9.58 seconds

This is iirc a claim that they have made, that someone on steroids has broken Usain Bolt's 100m WR

When is this happening?

@drcat The event was recently delayed from December 2024 to mid-2025. But it has more funding now (from Peter Thiel among others), and a bunch of details are supposed to drop in August of this year.

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