Will Iran be a democratic republic or a constitutional monarchy by 31 December 2027
12
Ṁ100Ṁ4742027
22%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
To resolve Yes, Iran must transition to a democratically elected government under a presidential, semi-presidental, or parliamentary system, similar to the United States, United Kingdom, France, or Israel.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Iran's regime fall in 2026?
32% chance
What will happen relating to Iran before April 1, 2026?
Iran Government falls before end of March 2026
7% chance
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be alive on Jan 1, 2027?
39% chance
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be Iran’s supreme leader on 1 January 2027?
39% chance
Will Iran become more authoritarian in 2025?
78% chance
Will the regime of Iran fall by the end of March 2026?
10% chance
Will the Iranian regime be overthrown?
30% chance
Will Iran's regime fall before end of 2027?
33% chance
Who will be paramount leader of Iran on January 1st 2027?