Will Haruki Murakami ever win the Nobel Prize for Literature?
14
175
Ṁ278Ṁ270
2049
28%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Haruki Murakami is a world-renowned Japanese author who has been translated into many different languages and published several novels and works of nonfiction to widespread popular and critical acclaim. Despite constant speculation from Nobel watchers around the globe, at a current 74 years of age he has never won the Prize for Literature. Will he ever win it? Let's take a guess...
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Will Michael Levin win a Nobel Prize any time in the future?
36% chance
Who will win the 2024 Nobel Prize for Literature?
Will a second Asian language novel win a Hugo award for Best Novel by EOY 2030?
58% chance
Will one of my descendants win a Nobel in my lifetime?
5% chance
Will any of the seven LK-99 superconductor authors win a Nobel before 2034?
8% chance
Will George R. R. Martin ever win the Hugo Award for Best Novel?
21% chance
Will Haruki Murakami release a 16th novel in Japanese or English by January 1st 2028?
72% chance
Will I spend a significant amount of time on creating chances for Yudkowsky to get a prestigious prize in literature (or find someone who’ll do that)?
25% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky ever win a Nobel Prize?
5% chance