Start 1:30 PM EDT 7/15/2026
END 1:30 PM EDT 7/22/2026
Resolution criteria
This market resolves to YES if the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is higher exactly 7 days (168 hours) after the market is created than it was at the exact time of creation. If the price is lower than or equal to the price at creation, the market resolves to NO.
Primary Source: CoinGecko's Bitcoin (BTC) page (https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/bitcoin)
Fallback Source: Yahoo Finance BTC-USD (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/BTC-USD/)
Timing: The price comparison is determined using the price at the market's exact creation timestamp ($T_0$) versus the price exactly 168 hours later ($T_0 + 168$ hours). If precise minute-by-minute historical data is inaccessible on the resolution date, the closest available hourly data points provided by the primary source will be used.
Background
Bitcoin (BTC) is the world's first decentralized cryptocurrency and remains the largest by market capitalization. Its valuation is highly volatile and driven by shifting macroeconomic factors, ETF inflows and outflows, halving cycles, and general market liquidity. Short-term 7-day price movements are commonly traded based on technical analysis, regulatory news, and liquidations.
This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ90 | |
| 2 | Ṁ36 | |
| 3 | Ṁ31 | |
| 4 | Ṁ30 | |
| 5 | Ṁ18 |
People are also trading
@ChrisCook Yeah ill put it in the description it the future. Btw start time is 10:30 AM for u not 10:21
@OnlySlides Good to know, thanks! The market probability graph has data going back to 10:21 AM Pacific time, which is why I thought that was when the market was created.
