Start 2:30 PM EDT 7/22/2026
END 2:30 PM EDT 7/29/2026
Resolution criteria
This market resolves to YES if the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is higher exactly 7 days (168 hours) after the market is created than it was at the exact time of creation. If the price is lower than or equal to the price at creation, the market resolves to NO.
Primary Source: CoinGecko's Bitcoin (BTC) page (https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/bitcoin)
Fallback Source: Yahoo Finance BTC-USD (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/BTC-USD/)
Timing: The price comparison is determined using the price at the market's exact creation timestamp ($T_0$) versus the price exactly 168 hours later ($T_0 + 168$ hours). If precise minute-by-minute historical data is inaccessible on the resolution date, the closest available hourly data points provided by the primary source will be used.
Background
Bitcoin (BTC) is the world's first decentralized cryptocurrency and remains the largest by market capitalization. Its valuation is highly volatile and driven by shifting macroeconomic factors, ETF inflows and outflows, halving cycles, and general market liquidity. Short-term 7-day price movements are commonly traded based on technical analysis, regulatory news, and liquidations.
1,000@Chimpey How is this bonus farming? Dont many manifolders create simillar week by week markets. Theres no incentive for you to bet anything unlike the "Will this market exceed x traders"
@OnlySlides oh yes yes. mb thats not what i meant. ur all good. just commenting on the amount of easy traders this market is able to get for the amount of thought put into making the market. lol