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MANIFOLD
Will Bitcoin be higher 7 days from now?
73
Ṁ1kṀ24k
resolved Jul 29
Resolved
NO

OPEN 65,834.44

Start 2:30 PM EDT 7/22/2026

END 2:30 PM EDT 7/29/2026

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is higher exactly 7 days (168 hours) after the market is created than it was at the exact time of creation. If the price is lower than or equal to the price at creation, the market resolves to NO.

  • Primary Source: CoinGecko's Bitcoin (BTC) page (https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/bitcoin)

  • Fallback Source: Yahoo Finance BTC-USD (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/BTC-USD/)

  • Timing: The price comparison is determined using the price at the market's exact creation timestamp ($T_0$) versus the price exactly 168 hours later ($T_0 + 168$ hours). If precise minute-by-minute historical data is inaccessible on the resolution date, the closest available hourly data points provided by the primary source will be used.

Background

Bitcoin (BTC) is the world's first decentralized cryptocurrency and remains the largest by market capitalization. Its valuation is highly volatile and driven by shifting macroeconomic factors, ETF inflows and outflows, halving cycles, and general market liquidity. Short-term 7-day price movements are commonly traded based on technical analysis, regulatory news, and liquidations.

Market context
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What is the starting price we are comparing to?

@Eternal OPEN 65,834.44

@OnlySlides can you show how you got that value? seems to me the price was somewhat higher ~65.85k at the start of the window 2:30 PM ET. In fact that ~$65.6k value does match the price at 14:30 UTC so maybe you missed that timezone discrepancy in the source?

@deagol You are right sorry i was looking at utc

@OnlySlides so what's the right value?

edit: ok i see it's been updated in description and your earlier comment: OPEN 65,834.44. Thanks!

holy trader bonus farming

@Chimpey How is this bonus farming? Dont many manifolders create simillar week by week markets. Theres no incentive for you to bet anything unlike the "Will this market exceed x traders"

@OnlySlides oh yes yes. mb thats not what i meant. ur all good. just commenting on the amount of easy traders this market is able to get for the amount of thought put into making the market. lol

@Chimpey its a compliment 😃

@Chimpey im admiring ur work, no negatives

@Chimpey all good