In March 2025 will Manifold users consider Crocus City Hall attack a false flag operation of Russian authorities?
Plus
27
Ṁ2380Mar 24
7%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
On March 22nd 2025 I will create a poll on Manifold, asking Manifold users whether they think the Crocus City Hall attack was more likely than not organized at least partly by Russian authorities as a false flag attack, presumably to justify escalation of Ukrainian war or strengthening the control over Russian citizens.
The poll will include some option for abstaining, but it will not count towards the resolution.
Related question:
/OlegEterevsky/will-terrorist-attack-in-moscow-be
I do not bet on my own questions (though I will vote in the poll).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Manifold be subject to a DDoS attack before the end of 2025?
70% chance
Will Manifold think Trump's threat to democracy was overblown at the end of 2025?
38% chance
Will Manifold leak KYC information by the end of 2026?
34% chance
Will any Manifold staff member or moderator be arrested/punished for a misdemeanor or felony before 2025?
12% chance
🧑⚖️What crimes will active Manifold users be indicted for before the end of 2030? [ADD RESPONSES]
Will somebody get arrested as a result of an attempt to manipulate a market on Manifold before 2025?
2% chance
Will an active Manifold user be indicted for murder before the end of 2030?
24% chance
Will an active Manifold user be indicted for selling military secrets to another country before the end of 2030?
30% chance
Will anyone do significant harm to another person in order to manipulate a market on Manifold by the end of 2024?
6% chance
Will any Manifold User with a trustworthyish badge be charged with murder by 2030?
3% chance