On March 22nd 2025 I will create a poll on Manifold, asking Manifold users whether they think the Crocus City Hall attack was more likely than not organized at least partly by Russian authorities as a false flag attack, presumably to justify escalation of Ukrainian war or strengthening the control over Russian citizens.

The poll will include some option for abstaining, but it will not count towards the resolution.

Related question:

/OlegEterevsky/will-terrorist-attack-in-moscow-be

I do not bet on my own questions (though I will vote in the poll).