This market will resolve to YES if the European Union signs a new formal agreement or deal with Ukraine specifically focused on rare earth elements before the market closes. The agreement must:

1. Be a new formal agreement (not just an implementation of the existing 2021 partnership)

2. Explicitly include rare earth elements as a significant component

3. Be officially signed by representatives of Ukraine and one or more EU members and/or the EU

The market will resolve to NO if no such agreement is signed before the market closes.