As the Musk/Trump rift escalates, will Musk accuse himself of election manipulation?

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by December 31, 2025, Elon Musk publicly states that he manipulated the 2024 election. The statement must be made through an official channel, such as his verified social media accounts, a press release, or a public interview. If no such statement is made by the end of 2025, the market will resolve to "No."

• Update 2025-07-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified that a statement only implying manipulation (e.g., saying Trump owes him the presidency) will not be sufficient for a YES resolution. A more direct statement that he manipulated the election is required.

• Update 2025-07-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A statement that only implies manipulation (e.g., "Trump owes him the presidency") is not sufficient for a YES resolution.

To resolve YES, Musk must state he did something specific that had a substantial effect on the election result. Examples of statements that would likely resolve to YES include admissions of:

• Willingly altering Twitter/X to spread propaganda

• Knowingly lying to benefit a candidate

• Buying votes

The creator will take any such public statement at face value, without attempting to determine if Musk is joking.