Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by the time it is resolved, Joshua's "I will resolve NO" market has more unique traders than Ben's market. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
linked markets:
Joshua's: /Joshua/i-will-resolve-this-market-no-at-th-LZpn8gEOus
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ96 | |
| 2 | Ṁ63 | |
| 3 | Ṁ59 | |
| 4 | Ṁ20 | |
| 5 | Ṁ9 |
My thesis is that Joshua's motivation is attention - visibility.
Ben's market had 226 traders. Joshua's is currently at 43, and with steady interaction in the comments.
I got 278 traders in a week from dumb luck alone. People love their meta-markets and thought experiments.
There is a risk that, in a month's time, seeing if Joshua will be as compromised as Ben was will be overshadowed by some other new hotness. But, with meta-metamarkets like this one springing up like mining shanties in a gold rush, I'm fairly confident that Joshua will get the attention he's craving.
@Odoacre Mom said it's my turn to play the Xbox. You think I'll get as many participants as Joshua or Ben?
https://manifold.markets/PowerTrick/i-will-resolve-this-market-no-at-th-R9p9t80UPC?r=UG93ZXJUcmljaw