Which year will legal action first be taken against Manifold Markets by any governmental entity ?
Basic
8
Ṁ1262027
27%
2024
26%
2025
12%
2026
35%
Legal action includes a government entity suing or fining Manifold.
At the start of each new year the previous year will resolve NO and a new option will be added to the market (market end date will also be pushed forward by one year).
When the first fine or legal proceeding happens all outstanding answers will resolve NO except for the current year which will resolve YES.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will legal action be taken against Manifold Markets by any governmental entity in 2024?
29% chance
Will someone sue Manifold Markets before the end of 2024?
12% chance
Will the CFTC file regulatory action against Manifold Markets for transactions involving the exchange of mana by 2025?
18% chance
Will the Federal Government sue Manifold Markets in 2024?
5% chance
Will US regulators instruct Manifold to alter or cease activity before the end of 2024?
19% chance
Will the CFTC file regulatory action against Manifold Markets for transactions involving the exchange of mana by 2030?
33% chance
Will there be a Manifold Markets competitor before 2025?
69% chance
Will a market on Manifold be used as evidence in any legal proceeding by the end of 2024?
14% chance
When will the CFTC take action against Polymarket?
Will the CFTC investigate Manifold before the end of 2024?
19% chance