Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the first year in which global carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions from fossil fuels and industry decrease compared to the previous year. If no such decrease occurs by the end of 2029, the market will resolve to "After 2029." The primary source for determining annual CO₂ emissions will be the Global Carbon Project's annual reports, which provide comprehensive and widely recognized data on global emissions. These reports, detailing emissions data for the preceding year, are typically published in an initial form in November or December of each year followed by a revised version a few months later. For example, the final revised 2024 report, released in March 2025, contains data for the year 2023. The most recent report can be accessed here: https://essd.copernicus.org/articles/17/965/2025/essd-17-965-2025-discussion.html