Will Germany take on new debt in any way, shape, or form in order to create the 2025 budget?
4
13
Ṁ100Ṁ160
2025
71%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The question will resolve yes if any form of debt (whether it‘s a Sondervermögen, Notlage, or anything else) is taken on in order to put up a national budget for 2025.
Get Ṁ200 play money
Sort by:
The debt brake is enshrined in Articles 109 and 115 of the German Basic Law. It provides for a structural and a cyclical component. The structural component limits the Federal Government's ability to incur new debt to 0.35% of nominal gross domestic product per year.
I assume you talk about debt above what the debt brake (Schuldenbremse) allows? Otherwise it is a certain YES.
As a followup: The output gap calculation method (EU-CAM, Potenzialschätzung) could be adapted to allow for a lot more debt while adhering to the debt brake. How would that resolve?
Related questions
Will Germany's economy grow in 2024?
74% chance
Will Germany introduce an equity reserve for pensions before 2026?
53% chance
Will nuclear energy be a relevant topic in Germany's election 2025?
64% chance
Will Germany's GDP grow in 2024?
56% chance
Will Deutsche Bank AG be bailed out by the German government before 2026?
21% chance
Will Germany lose its AAA rating before end of 2024?
4% chance
Can Germany freeze AfD funding before August 2025?
16% chance
Will Germany achieve 65GW onshore wind energy in 2024?
25% chance
Will the german government last until the next election?
92% chance