Who Will win the 2026 Texas Senate Seat Democratic Primary?
68
Ṁ1.1kṀ32k
May 26
78%
James Talarico
22%
Jasmine Crockett

The Democratic primary is on March 3 2026, however if no majority is received, a run off will be held on May 26. Resolves to who is the Democratic nominee for the Texas Senate seat, according to official results and major media reporting.

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https://www.cbsnews.com/texas/news/jasmine-crockett-democratic-senate-primary-texas-poll-james-talarico/

Crockett's campaign released an internal poll Tuesday evening by HIT Strategies showing that Crockett has 46% support to 33% for Talarico and 21% undecided. The poll surveyed 1,005 Democratic voters who have voted in past primaries and the 2024 general election.

looks like only 1 other candidate on the ballot. Wouldn’t expect them to get much of the vote. So unless it’s a very close margin, shouldn’t be a runoff. Basically that’s a market for if you think the candidates will be very close eg. 49.99% to 49.98% with the other candidate getting 0.03% (an example of how a runoff might happen, but seems very unlikely)

opened a Ṁ2,500 NO at 30% order

I’ve put a big limit order up for Jasmine Crockett no

Conservative tech billionaire Marc Andreessen, the Winklevoss twins, private equity giant Blackrock's PAC, Lockheed Martin's PAC, and two crypto super PACs donated to Jasmine Crockett's Senate campaign:https://www.notus.org/2026-election/jasmine-crockett-campaign-donations-crypto

opened a Ṁ1,000 NO at 42% order

@traders i put a big limit order up for Talarico yes @58%

bought Ṁ75 NO

@NzJack0n Allred dropped out

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