Will Mohammed bin Salman become the King of Saudi Arabia during 2023?
closes Dec 31

Get Ṁ500 play money

Related questions

Will King Charles visit the White House in 2023?
Will King Charles III of England's reign be long enough for the development of AGI?
Will 'Spare: by Prince Harry, The Duke of Sussex' become Amazon's #1 Best Seller for Books in 2023?
itsTomekK avatarTomek K 🟡
50% chance
Will Queen Elizabeth II be the last Queen of the United Kingdom?
MartinRandall avatarMartin Randall
69% chance
Will Prince William be crowned King by the end of 2026?
Predictor avatarPredictor 🔥
17% chance
Will prince William and Kate announce another pregnancy in 2023?
esusatyo avatarEnrico Susatyo
10% chance
Will Victoria be the last monarch of Sweden?
HenriThunberg avatarHenri Thunberg
38% chance
Will Jesus Christ be the King of Poland in 2040?
lukres avatarlukres
64% chance
Will a European country will re-establish a monarchy in the 21st century?
lisamarsh avatarLisa Marsh
15% chance
Will Carl XVI Gustaf be the last monarch of Sweden?
HenriThunberg avatarHenri Thunberg
11% chance
Will Charles III of the UK et al meet a senior Taiwanese leader before the end of his reign?
JoshuaWilkes avatarJosh Wilkes
25% chance
Will Charles cease to be King of the UK by end of 2025?
jack avatarJack
10% chance
Will Prince William be crowned King by the end of 2025?
Will the United Kingdom become a republic before Charles iii passed away?
SongZelant avatarSong Zelant
10% chance
Fionna and Cake: Will Simon put on the crown?
TiredCliche avatarForrest Taylor
70% chance
King Charles abdicates before he dies
MartinRandall avatarMartin Randall
19% chance
How many years after 2020 will the next country renounce the British Royal Family to become a Republic?
Will the consort of the next Dutch queen be called King (instead of prince)?
Fedor avatarFedor
25% chance
King Charles intervenes in UK government before 2024
Will King Charles permanently exile Prince Harry from the UK by 11:59pm 12/31/24?
AliciaGrugett avatarAGG
5% chance
Sort by:
BTE avatar
Brian T. Edwards
JoshuaAnderson avatar
Joshua Andersonbought Ṁ25 of NO

Base rates for death of an 87 year old man are ~11%, in the US. The risk is probably lower for someone like the King of Saudi, with access to all possible medical interventions. https://www.ssa.gov/oact/STATS/table4c6.html

2 replies
BTE avatar
Brian T. Edwardsbought Ṁ60 of NO

@JoshuaAnderson Fun fact, the King of Saudi Arabia is treated at UChicago Hospital, which is named for him I believe.

BTE avatar
Brian T. Edwardspredicts NO

@JoshuaAnderson I may be wrong about it being named after him. But lots of Arabs come there when they have cancer.