Will Mohammed bin Salman become the King of Saudi Arabia during 2023?
88
Ṁ12kresolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ172 | |
| 2 | Ṁ156 | |
| 3 | Ṁ95 | |
| 4 | Ṁ78 | |
| 5 | Ṁ64 |
Sort by:
Base rates for death of an 87 year old man are ~11%, in the US. The risk is probably lower for someone like the King of Saudi, with access to all possible medical interventions. https://www.ssa.gov/oact/STATS/table4c6.html
@JoshuaAnderson Fun fact, the King of Saudi Arabia is treated at UChicago Hospital, which is named for him I believe.
@JoshuaAnderson I may be wrong about it being named after him. But lots of Arabs come there when they have cancer.
Related questions
Related questions
Will MBS become King of Saudi Arabia by the end of 2024?
20% chance
Will Mohammed bin Salman (MBS) cease to be de facto leader of Saudi Arabia before 2030?
18% chance
Will Saudi Arabia king Salman live in the end of 2024?
85% chance
Will Saudi Arabia roll back any of MBS’s secularizing reforms by end of 2024?
33% chance
How will Mohammed bin Salman lose power?
Will Prince William become king by 2030?
67% chance
Will Saudi Arabia acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
29% chance
Will Saudi Arabia acquire nuclear weapons before 2032?
39% chance
Will Saudi Arabia obtain nuclear weapon(s) by 2035?
40% chance
Will Joe Biden visit Saudi Arabia by the end of 2024?
23% chance