Will a deepfake video of a US political figure go viral before the 2024 US election?
Nostradamnedus avatar
Nostradamnedus
22
closes 2024
69%
chance

If getting wide news coverage.

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NLeseul avatar
NLeseul

Does this require that people are generally fooled into thinking the fake video is real? Or would a funny video that gets widely shared, even though it's widely known to be fake, still resolve YES?

Duncn avatar
Duncnis predicting YES at 71%

@NLeseul I'm assuming YES, and moreover I'd argue that this has to be YES, because things that are widely known to be fake still go viral among populations that claim that they are not fake.

Duncn avatar
Duncnis predicting YES at 71%

@Duncn (And, contrariwise, things that are true are 'widely known to be fake'. )

Nostradamnedus avatar
Nostradamnedus

@NLeseul Yes, just needs to go viral.

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