Will any UK cabinet member leave cabinet in March?
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resolved Apr 1
Resolved
NO

Cabinet members as per https://www.gov.uk/government/ministers

Resolves YES if any member of cabinet resigns, is fired, dies, or otherwise ceases to hold a position in cabinet before market close.

Being promoted to another cabinet position does not count as leaving.

Losing one cabinet role when multiple are held (and thus remaining in cabinet) does not count as leaving.

All cabinet members being replaced simultaneously e.g. at a general election will resolve YES.

If you want to bet which cabinet member(s) leave then you can do so here.

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This looked close for a while, so I have created a follow-up market for April which has early betting quite high, IMO!

Two non-cabinet ministers have resigned (both standing down at next election, nothing exciting) but this does potentially pave the way for a larger reshuffle.

I’ve spun up an April market here to follow on from this one.

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