Will any UK cabinet member leave cabinet in March?
23
122
Ṁ4.6KṀ500
resolved Apr 1
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
Cabinet members as per https://www.gov.uk/government/ministers
Resolves YES if any member of cabinet resigns, is fired, dies, or otherwise ceases to hold a position in cabinet before market close.
Being promoted to another cabinet position does not count as leaving.
Losing one cabinet role when multiple are held (and thus remaining in cabinet) does not count as leaving.
All cabinet members being replaced simultaneously e.g. at a general election will resolve YES.
If you want to bet which cabinet member(s) leave then you can do so here.
Get Ṁ200 play money
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ162 | |
2 | Ṁ59 | |
3 | Ṁ55 | |
4 | Ṁ31 | |
5 | Ṁ14 |
Sort by:
This looked close for a while, so I have created a follow-up market for April which has early betting quite high, IMO!
Related questions
Will any UK cabinet member leave cabinet in April?
2% chance
Will any UK cabinet member leave cabinet this month?
Will any more MPs defect to Reform UK by the end of April?
4% chance
Who will leave the UK.gov Cabinet next?
Will any more MPs defect to Reform UK before the next general election?
59% chance
Will a MP from a governing party resign from their respective party before the end of 2024?
54% chance
Will Kemi Badenoch be demoted from Cabinet before a change or vacancy for Prime Minister or a dissolution of Parliament.
33% chance
Will there be a new leader of the UK Conservative party before the general election?
19% chance
Will the next leader of the Conservative Party become Prime Minister of the UK?
29% chance
Will any more Tory MP's defect to Labour before the next UK General Election?
43% chance