When will the next UK.GOV cabinet reshuffle take place?
Basic
10
Ṁ693
resolved Nov 13
Resolved
YES
November 2023
Resolved
NO
February 2024
Resolved
NO
December 2023
Resolved
NO
January 2024
  1. Resolves YES to the calendar month during which the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom officially announces and implements a cabinet reshuffle.

  1. A cabinet reshuffle is defined as the event where three or more secretary of state positions are newly appointed, removed, or moved within a two-day period.

  1. The resolution will be based on public announcements from official UK government channels or credible national news media reports confirming the reshuffle.

  1. If the reshuffle spans two calendar months, the resolution month will be the one in which the reshuffle process began.

  1. If no reshuffle occurs in each of the listed calendar months, that month will resolve NO at month end, and a new month will be added.

  1. Any changes announced by the UK Prime Minister that do not meet the criteria of a reshuffle as defined above will not trigger the resolution of the market.

  1. If a UK General Election takes place before any other reshuffle then the formation of the new government will also resolve that month YES.

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Cleverly is confirmed as Home Sec, it’s officially a reshuffle.

Sky News reporting that Cleverly has been moved to Home Sec, which would resolve November YES, just waiting on confirmation in text.

Suella out is 1 of 2 required to trigger the criteria, pending now for a second.

NoitboughtṀ25November 2023 YES

@Noit Politico says “The smart money seems to suggest a reshuffle which turfs Braverman out on her ear could be underway within hours.”

https://www.politico.eu/newsletter/london-playbook/the-reshuffle-could-be-on-today-or-not/

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