Resolves YES to the calendar month during which the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom officially announces and implements a cabinet reshuffle.
A cabinet reshuffle is defined as the event where three or more secretary of state positions are newly appointed, removed, or moved within a two-day period.
The resolution will be based on public announcements from official UK government channels or credible national news media reports confirming the reshuffle.
If the reshuffle spans two calendar months, the resolution month will be the one in which the reshuffle process began.
If no reshuffle occurs in each of the listed calendar months, that month will resolve NO at month end, and a new month will be added.
Any changes announced by the UK Prime Minister that do not meet the criteria of a reshuffle as defined above will not trigger the resolution of the market.
If a UK General Election takes place before any other reshuffle then the formation of the new government will also resolve that month YES.
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@Noit Politico says “The smart money seems to suggest a reshuffle which turfs Braverman out on her ear could be underway within hours.”
https://www.politico.eu/newsletter/london-playbook/the-reshuffle-could-be-on-today-or-not/