Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
When will Microsoft release Windows 12?
29
Ṁ1.5kṀ10k
Jul 1
7%
Before 1st July 2026
20%
Before 1st October 2026
38%
Before 1st January 2027
46%
Before 1st April 2027
58%
Before 1st July 2027

Full release, not a preview or limited release, available as an upgrade to Windows 11 or standalone install, titled Windows 12 or Windows XII or anything else that literally means 12, released by Microsoft before the date in the option.

If Microsoft does not name it windows 12 but it clearly is the equivalent next major full release of the operating system (clarified via poll if necessary) then that will also trigger a YES resolution.

Market context
Technology
Microsoft
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

People are also trading

When will Windows 12 or the next major windows successor be announced?
8/13/27
Will the next version of Microsoft Windows operating system (Windows 12) be released before Grand Theft Auto 6?
24% chance
Will Windows 12 be released before the Legend of Zelda movie releases?
19% chance
Will there be another perfect game pitched in the MLB before Windows 12 releases?
38% chance
Will Microsoft discontinue Windows in favor of a Windows themed Linux distribution before 2041?
16% chance
Will Windows 12 Home require an active subscription?
14% chance
Will Microsoft release a new smartphone and mobile OS before 2028?
21% chance
Will Microsoft rebrand by 2028?
10% chance
Microsoft opens Majorana chip to public in next 12 months?
10% chance
Will Microsoft train and release a frontier model in 2026?
57% chance
Sort by:

@Noit Since the most popular option is now down to 25%, perhaps you should add more options

@MartinSundhaug yeah go on then

Microsoft hasn't officially announced Windows 12, but rumors point to an early 2026 release.

@Noit Resolve 1 July and reopen please

People are also trading

When will Windows 12 or the next major windows successor be announced?
8/13/27
Will the next version of Microsoft Windows operating system (Windows 12) be released before Grand Theft Auto 6?
24% chance
Will Windows 12 be released before the Legend of Zelda movie releases?
19% chance
Will there be another perfect game pitched in the MLB before Windows 12 releases?
38% chance
Will Microsoft discontinue Windows in favor of a Windows themed Linux distribution before 2041?
16% chance
Will Windows 12 Home require an active subscription?
14% chance
Will Microsoft release a new smartphone and mobile OS before 2028?
21% chance
Will Microsoft rebrand by 2028?
10% chance
Microsoft opens Majorana chip to public in next 12 months?
10% chance
Will Microsoft train and release a frontier model in 2026?
57% chance