Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the date on which Microsoft officially announces "Windows 12" or the next major numbered version of the Windows operating system.

• The announcement must be made via an official Microsoft press release, a blog post on the official Windows Blog (https://blogs.windows.com/), or an official company keynote presentation.

• The announcement must explicitly name the successor to Windows 11 as a new major version (e.g., Windows 12).

• If Microsoft announces a new version of Windows with a different naming convention, this market will resolve based on the first public announcement of that successor, provided it is clearly marketed as the next major desktop OS release.

• If no such announcement is made by the market closing date, the market will resolve to the date specified in the market end time.

Background

Since the release of Windows 11 in 2021, there has been significant industry speculation regarding the development of a successor. Microsoft has transitioned to a more frequent, feature-update-focused release cycle for Windows 11, leading to ongoing debates among analysts and the tech community regarding whether the company will shift back to a major version update cadence or continue with iterative releases. Currently, Microsoft has not provided an official timeline or confirmation for a product marketed as "Windows 12."

This description was generated by AI.