MANIFOLD
(Musk Prediction) Will Optimus Be the World's Best Surgeon Within 3 years?
3
αΉ€100αΉ€92
2029
21%
chance

Marketing this claim: https://x.com/i/status/2038360800004559183

will create market criteria further on

Elon claims that there will probably be more great Optimus surgeons within three years AT SCALE than the total number of human surgeons on Earth.

If this is even remotely true then resolving this YES or NO should be trivially easy.

If the argument is even close whether Optimus is better than humans, even for a single construction, then I moderatelyy lean toward a NO resolution.

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