Will AI be able to create art in a "human-like way" within Photoshop, GIMP, or Paint.NET by the end of 2024?
12
1kṀ610
resolved Jan 3
Resolved
NO

Current state-of-the-art AI image generators like Midjourney (i.e. diffusion models, previously GANs and other types of models) create art in a distinctly nonhuman-like way, essentially by manipulating random noise into gradually looking more and more like the target image based on a given prompt. I'm curious on whether it will soon become technically feasible (if not necessarily practical) for an AI to create a similar wide variety of images via prompts through methods that look a lot closer to what a human artist might do, albeit presumably a lot faster.

This question resolves YES if, by resolution time, I can get access to an AI that can:

  1. Control a virtual mouse and/or keyboard on either my machine or some other (virtual?) machine I can access.

  2. Use said control to open image editing software like Photoshop, GIMP, or Paint.NET. Any single one would do.

  3. Draw at least a basic picture of an arbitrary prompt in said software in a way that's recognizable.

To be clear, it does not have to be anywhere near state-of-the-art. It just has to be capable of drawing any reasonable prompt in a way that someone who hasn't seen the prompt could more or less recognize. It can even be a simple black and white sketch, so long as it's a decent one.

I'd try around 5-10 prompts of no more than a sentence each, something like "a bustling city street under the shine of a full moon". If the AI gets at least half of the prompts correct and recognizable (according to my subjective opinion), that counts for the purposes of this market.

Additional details:

  1. I'm willing to pay a reasonable fee to access the AI that would resolve this market, if needed.

  2. The AI should spend no more than 30 real-time minutes on creating each image. If it goes over, I'll try and cut it off early.

  3. Due to subjective judgment being required, I will not trade on this market.

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