What will be the total cost of US extreme weather disasters in 2024?

Question

The NOAA National Center for Environmental Information estimated total 2022 damage at $165 billion:

https://www.climate.gov/news-features/blogs/beyond-data/2022-us-billion-dollar-weather-and-climate-disasters-historical

and the total 2021 damage at $145 billion:

https://www.climate.gov/news-features/blogs/beyond-data/2021-us-billion-dollar-weather-and-climate-disasters-historical#:~:text=Damages%20from%20the%202021%20disasters,Western%20wildfires%20(%2410.9%20billion).

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, $200-250 billion, followed by $150-200 billion and >$300 billion are most likely. See the market for live updates (8 traders, as of Oct 10, 2024).

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