A user named @Pecado created the following question:
https://manifold.markets/Pecado/do-you-think-the-un-security-counci#
stating: "Resolves YES/NO to majority vote of poll I will hold around market close. If the poll is 50/50 I will resolve to PROB=50%."
Then they resolved to YES, w.o. even holding a poll, supposedly based on the "votes" in the posted question itself, gaining @Pecado themself the largest profit. A bunch of users (including myself) have rated the resolution 1 star.
I will resolve this question in spirit in 30 days.
Examples of a YES resolution for this question:
1. Pecado (or someone else) holds a fair poll, and re-resolve accordingly (if needed).
2. An N/A resolution (either by @Pecado or the manifold team).
Examples of a NO resolution for this question:
1. Everything stays the same for 30 days or more.
Any poll that is not transparent enough.
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@ElliotDavies Kind of yes. I am not very happy with the possibility of @Pecado waiting to see the results and deciding after if they like them enough to resolve accordingly or not.
If they (or anyone else with the ability to re-resolve the question) are willing to re-resolve according to this poll before seeing the final results that's good enough imo. Otherwise, maybe only if someone from the manifold team or so confirms. I don't trust @Pecado much for obvious reasons.
@NivCohen I bet 1000 mana on yes on this question and I am fully committed to resolving the linked market based on the result of my poll. I am also verifying that all voters on the poll are legitimate and not a robot army. You should have nothing to fear. The original creator will not be able to re-resolve or change whatever result I resolve it to after the poll.
@Eliza Great! In this case I will resolve to YES ofc once everything is done.
Just out of interest - are you from the manifold team that you are able to take over the other question?
@NivCohen I have the Trustworthy badge, it is the purple symbol next to my name. If we see fraud we are able to do some stuff about it. I can't fine or penalize the creator but I am able to make sure the market resolves as the description said it would.
For example, a poll selected after seeing its results. I guess there are many polls around the internet, and one can always find a poll with a result that they like after seeing it.
In any case, I don't have a close definition here which is not too limiting, so I will resolve this in spirit.
There is now a poll related to this question:
/Eliza/do-you-think-the-un-security-counci-aaae09ce197b