I see this as a one-way market. Either the userbase grows and it resolves NO, or manifold shuts down within a couple years and all the mana disappears.

From the stats page, they sold $10k worth of mana in the last 30 day. That's one employee at less than $120K salary. How much less depends on server/network costs and overhead ... it's surely a lot less.

That's not sustainable as a business. It can't shrink the userbase and stay alive, unless they extract a lot more revenue per user. Maybe that would work out, but I doubt it. Grow or die.

It is https://manifold.markets/stats

@skibidist great, I'll be using that