Will I regret letting a new coworker stay in my apartment for 3 weeks while I'm away?
Will I regret letting a new coworker stay in my apartment for 3 weeks while I'm away?
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100Ṁ536resolved Aug 31
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I've met her once during interviews, she seemed fine, we're hiring her as a postdoc so she's probably a reasonable person. She needed a place to stay for a while before her long-term lease starts, and it happened to be while I was going to be away on vacation so I said she could stay in my apartment (and am only charging her 2x the utilities-I-would't-otherwise-be-paying).
Possible reasons for regret:
- she breaks my microwave or spills food on my couch or something
- my landlord is unhappy about this (it's technically against the lease, but I would be shocked if anyone noticed, I almost never interact with anyone from management)
- other things I'm not thinking of because I've never done this before?
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.