
Will Pia Cramling win her match against Levy Rozman?
25
1kṀ13kresolved Nov 2
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If the result is tied after the games that are currently planned, and they play tiebreaker games, this will resolve to the result of the tiebreakers; otherwise it resolves NO. (i.e. because tie ≠ win). Also resolves NO if the match doesn't happen, is canceled partway through, or the results aren't publicized by a credible source. (I expect to use chess.com as a source.)
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@ChinmayTheMathGuy Levy hasn't played a FIDE rated blitz or rapid game since before 2020, so those ratings probably aren't going to be super predictive.
I had also put up a market for this - arbitrage opportunity https://manifold.markets/ADings/what-will-be-the-result-of-the-ches