
Manifold just launched sweepstakes markets:
https://manifold.markets/ManifoldPolitics/will-trump-win-the-2024-election?play=false
https://manifold.markets/ZviMowshowitz/will-california-bill-sb-1047-become?play=false
How many will there be when this market closes? I may bet on this market.
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ403 | |
| 2 | Ṁ171 | |
| 3 | Ṁ77 | |
| 4 | Ṁ77 | |
| 5 | Ṁ70 |
@traders Because I commented that I wouldn't count the Switch 2 market below, I will resolve this market based on a count of 20 currently open sweeps markets, so the two ranges including 20 will resolve 50%.
However, I believe the current end date of this market indicates the count should be 21, so to compensate, I will be sending mana to traders who bet on 20-50 and lost mana, equal to the amount they lost.
@Nightsquared how will you count sweeps markets with identical close time as this market? (It looks like there’s one, as this has a common default close time). Is it whether it’s open after you check? Or will you count those?