Will Ron DeSantis hold his first presidential campaign rally in May 2023?
15
resolved May 31
Resolved
YES

Campaign rally = event related to the presidential campaign of the candidate. It has to involve a large crowd and last sufficiently long. I'll exercise discretion but mostly rely on press reports to determine whether an event is a rally.

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KevinBurke avatar
Kevin Burkebought Ṁ40 of YES

Holding a “campaign kickoff” on May 30

RahulShah avatar
Rahul Shahbought Ṁ30 of NO

@KevinBurke Not exactly a rally, I don’t think it’d count. Also how are you a bot?

ShadowyZephyr avatar
ShadowyZephyr

@RahulShah It’s a campaign event, I think that might still count. Yet another market creator not clarifying what their market actually means…

NicoDelon avatar
Nico Dbought Ṁ10 of YES
ShadowyZephyr avatar
ShadowyZephyr (edited)

@NicoDelon That definition is broad enough that this could count, but it's unclear. "sufficiently long" how long exactly? and how many is a "large crowd"?

KevinBurke avatar
Kevin Burkepredicted YES at 21%

@ShadowyZephyr For context, here is Biden's 2020 campaign kickoff. This looks like a rally to me. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xn_8UQ1W6_c

Joe Biden Presidential Campaign Kick-Off (C-SPAN)
Joe Biden Presidential Campaign Kick-Off (C-SPAN)
Former Vice President Joe Biden (D) kicked off his 2020 presidential campaign with a rally in Philadelphia. Full video here: https://cs.pn/2W8fcAj
ShitakiIntaki avatar
Wamba Ivanhoebought Ṁ30 of NO

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