Will Ron DeSantis hold his first presidential campaign rally in May 2023?
15
249
แน€270
resolved May 31
Resolved
YES

Campaign rally = event related to the presidential campaign of the candidate. It has to involve a large crowd and last sufficiently long. I'll exercise discretion but mostly rely on press reports to determine whether an event is a rally.

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bought แน€40 of YES

Holding a โ€œcampaign kickoffโ€ on May 30

bought แน€30 of NO

@KevinBurke Not exactly a rally, I donโ€™t think itโ€™d count. Also how are you a bot?

@RahulShah Itโ€™s a campaign event, I think that might still count. Yet another market creator not clarifying what their market actually meansโ€ฆ

bought แน€10 of YES

@NicoDelon That definition is broad enough that this could count, but it's unclear. "sufficiently long" how long exactly? and how many is a "large crowd"?

bought แน€30 of NO