Will I regret creating ‘Will @Austin’s ‘In defense of SBF’ have aged well?’?
9
193Ṁ373resolved Dec 23
Resolved as
9%1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This is the market:
https://manifold.markets/NicoDelon/will-austins-in-defense-of-sbf-have?r=Tmljb0RlbG9u
Will resolve according to my subjective feeling of regret (PROB) on close date.
Things that could make me regret it:
it becomes clear that Austin will never give me a trustworthy-ish badge because of that market
backlash (whether justified or not)
resolution is controversial
it becomes obvious that SBF did not commit fraud
Things that would not make me regret it:
people reasonably disagreeing with me (my position is: it hasn't aged well at all)
few people bet on the question or answer the poll
I never get the badge for reasons unrelated to that market
I lose interest in the question
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ23 | |
2 | Ṁ12 | |
3 | Ṁ9 | |
4 | Ṁ5 | |
5 | Ṁ2 |