<aside> 💡 I am using my moderation permissions to resolve this market on behalf of the creator. This is according to the Manifold Markets unresolved markets policy found here.

If the creator returns and wishes to change the resolution, please reply to this comment and tag @DavidChee. The admins will then undo the resolution I chose and you may pick your desired resolution.

</aside>

This can resolve now @NickelChen

@Svenbonne I won't resolve until the market has been closed. But I will resolve Yes.

@NickelChen I'm sure they'll be by June, but I'm not sure they're in service yet, they just are in Ukraine for now.

Poland delivers first Leopard tanks to Ukraine – DW – 02/24/2023
Euan MacDonald on Twitter: "Video of the formal handover of the first Polish Leopard 2A4 tanks to Ukraine. They're now part of Ukraine's 4th Tank Brigade. https://t.co/q36Fco8z9Z" / Twitter

Blomberg: Poland to deliver Leopards this Friday: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-02-24/poland-to-deliver-first-leopard-tanks-to-ukraine-on-friday

@MartinModrak Might actually already be in Ukraine (Andrzej Duda: Polish Leopard 2 Tanks Already Arrived In Ukraine - Belarusian News - Charter'97 (charter97.org)) also reported by other media, but with worse links.

https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1629155136114241538 Video clip from a press event, reportedly somewhere in or near Kyiv, with Prime Ministers of Ukraine and Poland inspecting visible Leopard 2A4s and commenting on the first completed delivery.

https://tvpworld.com/66561212/polish-leopard-2-tanks-have-arrived-in-ukraine-polands-def-minister Polish state media coverage.

@yaboi69 Thank you for the news

Could you clarify "in Service" a little? Do theLeos need to beinvolved in active battle or do they just need to be under control of the UDF?

@Svenbonne sorry, I've missen your question. Under Ukrainian control is a yes.

Spiegel reports that Germany made the decision to send Leopard 2 tanks. However, it's not clear when it will be implemented.

@NickelChen The title of the market says "by June", which for me means "before June 1"; but the closing date is June 30. Could you clarify what you mean?

@PS Oh shit. I fucked up June and July in my description. The first thing I set up was the close date and then I got confused when it came to the title.

Right now, I'd rather use the date given in the title as the deadline. Sometimes weapons deliveries aren't announced until they've already been in service for some time. So I might have to resolve the market later than June 1st anyway.

I'll have to anger some people on way or another. How would you fix my mistake?

@NickelChen These things happen 🤷
If you're going with the June 1st deadline, I'd just add a description saying that it's indeed the date you mean, but you'll wait for up to a month until you resolve. People could even continue to trade if they think Leopards are already in service/haven't actually been in service by the deadline.

@PS Thnak you :) I'll add that to my description.

Repaired German Leopard tanks for Ukraine ready in 2024 at earliest, armsmaker says

@PS But Poland's Leopards could be ready much sooner, I think

@StanPinsent Might be true, I don't know what the state is. If they can be prepared quickly, and the Ukrainians trained quickly, this might work out.