Will the AI Safety Clock reach 22 minutes to midnight by April 2025?
9
Ṁ100Ṁ243resolved Feb 26
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ31 | |
| 2 | Ṁ21 | |
| 3 | Ṁ19 | |
| 4 | Ṁ3 | |
| 5 | Ṁ2 |
People are also trading
Related questions
The next time the AI Safety Clock moves, will it get further away from midnight?
6% chance
Will a publicly known AI model achieve an 80% time horizon that is an 1 hour and 30 minutes by September 2026?
90% chance
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 50 seconds to midnight by 2027?
14% chance
Will an AI system be known to have resisted shutdown before the end of 2026?
36% chance
AI time horizon of 20 hours by January 1st 2027?
83% chance
[ACX 2026] Will an AI model reach a 3 hour time horizon with 80% reliability during 2026?
79% chance
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 30 seconds to midnight by 2029?
42% chance
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 20 minutes or more to midnight before 2050?
25% chance
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 40 seconds to midnight by 2028?
24% chance
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 20 seconds to midnight by 2030?
51% chance