Will Israel attack Iraq in November 2026?
9
Ṁ100Ṁ389Dec 1
14%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Will Israel attack Iraq in October 2026?
20% chance
Will Israel attack Iraq in September 2026?
11% chance
Will Israel attack Iraq in December 2026?
17% chance
Will Israel attack Iraq in 2027?
33% chance
Will Israel attack Iraq in 2028?
26% chance
Will Israel attack Iraq in 2029?
32% chance
Will Israel attack Iraq in 2036?
42% chance
Will Israel attack Iraq in 2032?
47% chance
Will Israel attack Iraq in 2038?
38% chance
Will Israel attack Iraq in 2037?
30% chance
Sort by:
Another early resolution? @NickAllenPANp please explain what's going on here?
BTW it was just revealed that Israel did attack some Iraqi forces during the recent war
@AhronMaline do you have dates for those attacks? looks like past markets were resolved early, too, so I can fix them
@Stralor I don't think dates were reported, but it seems to have happened around March? Israel had a secret airbase in the Iraqi desert, and used some violence there to protect it
@Stralor turns out there's a Wikipedia page on this: Israeli bases in Iraq - Wikipedia
It says that an Iraqi soldier was killed and two wounded, on March 4. And that one civilian was also killed
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Israel attack Iraq in October 2026?
20% chance
Will Israel attack Iraq in September 2026?
11% chance
Will Israel attack Iraq in December 2026?
17% chance
Will Israel attack Iraq in 2027?
33% chance
Will Israel attack Iraq in 2028?
26% chance
Will Israel attack Iraq in 2029?
32% chance
Will Israel attack Iraq in 2036?
42% chance
Will Israel attack Iraq in 2032?
47% chance
Will Israel attack Iraq in 2038?
38% chance
Will Israel attack Iraq in 2037?
30% chance