Will the US be at war with Iran by the end of 2024?
Plus
42
Ṁ7824Jan 1
3%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Public acknowledgement by both sides, major US government figures referring to a state of active war between the US and Iran, multiple media outlets referring to a US-Iran war as something that is actively occuring in a sustained manner, or other similar events will resolve this question "yes". Will not resolve "yes" for drum-beating propaganda, only for active public prosecution of a full-spectrum conflict.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will the US and Iran go to war by end 2024?
2% chance
Will the US invade Iran before the end of 2024?
2% chance
Will Iran use Iraq to stage an attack on Israel before the end of 2024?
7% chance
Will the US bomb sites in Iran in 2024
5% chance
Will there be a war between Iran and Israel by the end of 2024
4% chance
Will The US be at at war with another country by the end of 2024?
11% chance
Will the US be at war with Iran before the end of 2025
15% chance
Will Iran conduct a nuclear weapons test by the end of 2024?
2% chance
Will Iran and Iraq be at war before the end of 2024?
4% chance
Will the US invade Iran before the end of 2025?
12% chance