Will McCarthy make it to July without needing to be reelected as speaker?
74
248
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resolved Jul 1
Resolved
YES

Resolves "no" if another speaker vote is triggered or if McCarthy is replaced or otherwise leaves the speaker position before 00:01 July 1 2023. Otherwise yes.

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Does a 'no' resolution require an actual new speaker vote or is a vote on removing McCarthy from the role enough? (I wouldn't call the latter a 'new speaker vote' or an election as they are not actually voting on a new Speaker, just on getting rid of the existing one.)

predicted NO

@amoebus Hmm, there's a little ambiguity between the main heading and the explanatory text. Let's include the main heading intent in as well, so any sort of recall, removal, or new vote where other candidates can be nominated would resolve this as "No", but McCarthy surviving a vote of no confidence-type attack and remaining continuously in the speaker chair will not resolve as "no", the question will remain open. Clear?

bought Ṁ100 of NO

In case anyone missed it, a single member can vote to vacate the speaker.