Will Korean reunification be formally begun before 2025?
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2025
9%
chance

This question resolves to "yes" if formal work towards an agreed Korean peninsula reunification begins before new years day 2025. This might include anything from a planned non-specific future date with signed agreements accomplished up to and including full reunification.

Sep 8, 10:54pm:

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predicts YES

Troops crossing the DMZ with the stated goal of forceful reunification seems like it should count as well.

@NickAllen

how this would fulfil "agreed" part in

towards an agreed Korean peninsula reunification

?

predicts YES

@M ok, interesting point. Since that's in there let's go with conquest only working if it's terminated in a unification by that date; of hostilities are ongoing then I guess that's not agreed, so resolves negative.

predicts YES

Before anyone asks, military conquest in either direction is a "yes" as well.

Great question! Added some liquidity