Is "Patriot Front" a Federally Funded Extremist Group (FFEG)?
9
650Ṁ303
2026
40%
chance

Resolves "yes" if it turns out that federal informants and/or agents comprise >30% of the group, or > 50% of leadership roles according to the the court filings whenever they get rolled up for some stupid plot.

Edit: Patriot Front has gone mysteriously dark since USAID got defunded and Kash Patel took over FBI. I'm going to resolve this one "Yes" if there's no publicized Patriot Front marches within the first year of Trump 2.0, by end of January 2026.

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Update: See "edit" in description. Will resolve "yes" if Patriot Front continues to have no public marches by Jan '26. One would expect them to be "emboldened" or something if they were bona fide.

predictedNO

Is this a crowdsourced news aggregator market? It feels like one.

@JohnSmithb9be well, it's a "sift through the bs" market, so.... Kinda? Combination of news aggregation and news weighting assessment in one? Seems like a question people have strong opinions on that might be clearly resolved at some point.

@JohnSmithb9be sorry, just saw that it auto-filled in a nearby closing date. I pushed it out. In case that's relevant to your question

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