What percentage of this short story is AI-generated?
closes Jun 25

Resolves with probability as (words written by AI / total words) * 100 in the following text:

It was a busy day at the lake. Recent sightings of the legendary golden fish, that was said to grant a single wish, had attracted even people from the city. Day after day, they casted their nets, hoping for a glimpse of its shimmering scales. Most skeptics called it a hoax, just con artists seeking to profit, but they could not deny it any longer the day the world ended

Related markets

What are the probabilities of these AI outcomes (X-risk, dystopias, utopias, in-between outcomes, status quo outcomes)?
How long until a writer can use AI alone to generate consistent imagery for a comic book / graphic novel?2024
At the beginning of 2040, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?63%
What percentage of AI Alignment Awards entrants will win a prize?30
In a year, will I think that risk of AI apocalypse is between 1 and 10%?49%
How many of these jobs will have a 15% or more drop in employment plausibly attributable to AI by 2031?34%
Ray Kurzweil's forthcoming and twice-delayed book "The Singularity is Nearer" will be mostly/entirely written by an AI28%
When will I believe an AI is conscious with >66% credence?2031
Will AI kill >20% of the human population before 2030?22%
Is something fishy going on in the AI risk letter market?33%
If AI doesn't destroy humanity, what proportion of future value (relative to 2023 EAs' CEV) will be attained?40%
In 2025, what % of EA lists "AI risk" as their top cause?40%
Will AI take over the world by 2100?39%
In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly-selected computer games at human level, given the chance to train via self-play?81%
At the beginning of 2035, will Eliezer Yudkowsky still believe that AI doom is coming soon with high probability?66%
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?21%
Part 1: In 2023, will we be subjected to "lies and bullshit" due to usage of A.I. by bad actors?60%
In the 2022 EA survey, what % of EAs select "AI Risk" as top cause?23%
AI honesty #1: by 2027 will we have AI that doesn't hallucinate random nonsense?82%
When will AI/Ought provide an appropriate answer to the question "What percent of Thiel Fellows come from Canada"?