Will the England Cricket Team defeat Australia in the Ashes in 2023?
24
508
แน€410
resolved Jul 31
Resolved as
50%

If the series is tied, will resolve at 50% probability.

Refers to the men's competition.

Get แน€1,000 play money

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Note that if series is tied (ie if England win final test) payout is at 50%.

predicted NO

@NiallWeaver can you demonstrate what this means with a small example,please?

@nobody Current score: England 1 Australia 2. If England win last test, series becomes tied. Payout is at 50% so that for every 2 shares you get 1 mana. If you think England have exactly a 50% chance of winning the last test, then you should be buying Yes <25% and No at >25%. If you think England are certain to win you should buy yes <50%. But the maximum payout is now 50% for those holding YES shares. The minimum layout for those holding NO shares is 50%.

predicted NO

@NiallWeaver oh gotcha thanks

predicted YES