S&P 500 drops 8%+ by April 2025 post-Liberation Day? | Manifold

S&P 500 drops 8%+ by April 2025 post-Liberation Day?

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This market will resolve as YES if the S&P 500 index declines by more than 8% from its closing value on March 31, 2025, to its closing value on April 30, 2025, based on official data from a credible financial source (e.g., Yahoo Finance, Bloomberg, or the New York Stock Exchange). The percentage change will be calculated as follows:

- Starting value: S&P 500 closing value on March 31, 2025

- Ending value: S&P 500 closing value on April 30, 2025

- Percentage drop = [(Starting value - Ending value) / Starting value] × 100

If the calculated drop exceeds 8.00%, the market resolves YES. Otherwise, it resolves NO. If the exact closing values are disputed or unavailable, the resolution will rely on the consensus of major financial reporting outlets.

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Why go up when we can go down

bought Ṁ500 YES

I can't emphasize enough that this is not a bit, and as markets play chicken with breakers, this will get worse before it gets better.

Currently 8 points down.

For the record the S&P 500 closed at 5,611.85 yesterday. So if the market closes at 5,162.90 or lower on April 30th, the market will resolve YES.

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Related questions

Will the S&P 500 AGAIN decrease by over 5% in one day in 2025?

How low will S&P500 go in 2025?

Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 2% in one day in 2025 after April 4, 2025?

Will 2025 have two more single day 5% decreases of the S&P 500?

Will the S&P 500 drop below $5,521.52 (its dip on March 13) in any of these months in 2025?

Will the S&P 500 index drop 40% from peak to trough by March, 2029?

Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 20% in any quarter of 2025?

Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 10% in any quarter of 2025?

Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 10% in any quarter of 2025?

When will S&P 500 drop below $5000? (which day?)

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