Will there be a non-trivially supported American antipope before 2060?
12
1kṀ2472060
25%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
From https://prokopetz.tumblr.com/post/734020095147393024/with-the-way-american-tradcaths-are-currently:
Resolves YES if, before 2060, there is an American antipope with 5000 supporters.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Pope Leo XIV cease to be pope before 2030?
19% chance
Will there be a third party US president before 2100.
42% chance
Will there be another non-white President of the United States before 2060?
83% chance
Will the next pope visit the United States by the end of 2026?
66% chance
Will there be an Asian-American President of the United States before 2060?
57% chance
Will another US president be killed before 2060?
38% chance
Will there be a third party US president before 2050.
23% chance
Who will be the Catholic Pope on 19 January 2038 at 03:14:07 UTC?
At any point before February 1, 2045, will there be a major third party in US politics? [read desc]
35% chance
Will there have been a new president who isn't a Protestant or non denominational Christian by Inauguration Day 2045?
66% chance