Will Manifold Markets display probabilities as odds in any way on 2023-06-01?
20
81
Ṁ3.1KṀ370
resolved Jun 1
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
538 converts percentages to rough odds, e.g. 43% might be displayed as "3 in 7". It's less precise but somewhat more intuitive to newcomers, and also emphasises that both outcomes are possible.
Get Ṁ200 play money
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ31 | |
2 | Ṁ25 | |
3 | Ṁ23 | |
4 | Ṁ22 | |
5 | Ṁ21 |
Sort by:
I'd actually find that much less intuitive, I like that manifold uses percents and I feel like I'm frequently converting other odds formats into percents to actually understand them:
Related questions
Will Manifold support additional display formats (e.g. dates or durations) for numeric markets before the end of 2024?
30% chance
Will Manifold support betting on groups of multiple choice options in one bet like on numeric markets before EOY 2024?
42% chance
Will Manifold significantly improve the reliability of extreme market probabilities before the end of 2024?
9% chance
Will Manifold Markets exist in 2025?
97% chance
Before 2026, will Manifold innovate its way to a market correctly pricing a 1-in-100,000 random chance of Yes as 0.001%?
1% chance
Will Manifold stop having obviously wrong probabilities on markets with >=50 traders by the end of 2024?
7% chance
Will Manifold Markets add betting with USD by 2035?
56% chance