Will Manifest 2024 happen in the SF Bay Area from June 7-9?
Basic
45
20k
resolved Jun 7
Resolved
YES

The date has been pencilled in, so how likely is it to actually go ahead then? The earlier I book plane tickets the better, so I'd like to know ASAP.

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@NcyRocks can now resolve YES? (as in i'm en route w/ my confirmation ticket so it'd better happen)

opened a Ṁ100,000 YES at 99.0% order

Public Service Limit Order

bought Ṁ10 NO

@ManifoldPolitics @traders cash out your yes at profit!

bought Ṁ1,500 YES

resolves yes

@strutheo not yet it doesnt!

I've been waiting 3 months to get 8k Mana back. it resolves on the 7th or else it was all for naught.

@shankypanky yeahhh at the rate I'm betting ill be OOM by manifest

@Stralor (I actually was trying to nudge NC to resolve this yesterday lol)

wasnt the point to close/resolve things earlier now? i thought that was the way they incentivize for creators

@strutheo no? not earlier than things happen. are you thinking of the encouragement to make shorter term markets? that's different than resolving things yes or no before they've happened/confirmed to be yes/no.

@strutheo closing (slightly) early makes sense for creators nowadays! but resolving early isn't really encouraged

It's confirmed - tickets are out 🧡

bought Ṁ45 NO

@shankypanky haha I think 99% is wayyy too confident, any number of things could happen - "once in a century pandemic", our venue catches on fire, etc etc

@Austin ok wow

I'm gonna add "once in a century pandemic" to the prop bets but not arson

@shankypanky Awesome!

I’m not sure this should be enough for resolution, seeing as it could maybe be moved? I’d be interested to hear what traders think.

@NcyRocks stressful 😅

news? is the date confirmed now

@strutheo @saulmunn, who’s organising, bought it up to 83%, so that’s probably pretty accurate

@NcyRocks I'm 100% it will happen in 2024, but I'm less certain about the specific dates which seemed to be pulled out of thin air the first time I heard them. I'll feel more confident when (if?) the website market resolves, even if it doesn't have a specific date listed to start.