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Not necessarily successfully. An official delay or cancellation resolves NO.
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@Mqrius FWIW, half of an investment returns via loans every 34 days or so. It takes about 8 months to get 99% back.
Right now it seems like NASA is struggling to launch more than 1 SLS every two years; this market would require NASA to launch four in the next six years. (Unless NASA starts naming non-SLS missions using the "Artemis" branding.) It would seem crazy for NASA to keep launching missions around the moon (like Artemis II) if they don't have a lander, spacesuits, etc, gateway components, etc, ready on time. Since markets are pessmistic about the chances of earlier Artemis missions happening on time, it seems doubly unlikely that Artemis V will happen on time.