How much will TikTok sell for, in billions of dollars, if sold by the end of 2025?
Basic
9
Ṁ6832026
138
expected
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves N/A if TikTok has not sold by the end of 2025.
If it sells for more than $500 billion value listed, resolves to the maximum bucket.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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1,000
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@SemioticRivalry Any community suggestions on how to set the upper and lower bound on these types of markets? I'm still not sure best practice. The high end of the estimates I quickly googled were several hundred billion, I agree that's unlikely but didn't want to exclude the possibility - TikTok has more than triple the estimated MAU of Twitter.
@SemioticRivalry I guess you'd take a view on potential DAU/MAU growth and then consider the potential to monetize and look at other social media market caps? ~10-20% of the market cap of Meta doesn't seem crazy
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